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August 26, 2023

Trump Could Get Tossed Off the Ballot…by Two Law Professors

Stranger things have happened.

Breaking news: Donald Trump should be barred from the presidency.

That’s not me speaking, or Democratic politicians, or progressive activists. It’s two influential conservative legal scholars, Professors William Baude and Michael Stokes Paulsen, in a University of Pennsylvania Law Review article. Other leading conservative lawyers have backed their view, making Trump’s disqualification more than a hypothetical possibility.

This sounds incredible. Since when can scholars control the course of our democracy? But the authors’ argument could get serious attention from our conservative-dominated Supreme Court, which could well make the final call on the matter.

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November 21, 2020

Coup

We've been warned.

The First is One Too Many

I first witnessed a coup attempt in the Philippines on the morning of August 28, 1987, a couple of months after I arrived in Manila to work for the democracy-promoting, San Francisco-based Asia Foundation. On that day, a well-armed group of military dissidents nearly toppled the duly elected government of President Corazon Aquino. As tanks and armed personnel carriers rumbled by our office, my colleagues and I had no idea whose side they were on.

Just weeks earlier, a Filipino co-worker had proudly told me about joining the massive “People Power” demonstration that helped depose the country’s dictator in February of 1986. Now he and his fellow Filipinos began to look broken. How had so much turned so bad so fast for their democracy?

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November 12, 2020

How Trump Could Still Steal the Election, Part Two

And why he’s unlikely to succeed, though that's a weak basis for complacency.

A Mess, Not a Process

Last week, I discussed how Donald Trump could try to steal the presidential election through voter suppression, voter disqualification and court decisions, and how Republicans planted the seeds of such an effort long ago.

I’ll now address how, even though Joe Biden is president-elect, Team Trump could seek to reverse the result by taking the fight to state legislatures, Congress and the Supreme Court. The strategy would exploit archaic, arcane aspects of our electoral college system that are even more nonsensical than you might imagine.

I’ll also sketch why Trump will most likely fail, not least because it might not be in the interests of many Republicans or the Court to see this battle through to the bitter end.

But “most likely” leaves no basis for complacency. That’s especially the case since Trump, like other would-be and actual autocrats elsewhere, has shown us who he is.

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November 2, 2020

How Trump Could Steal the Election, Part One

He's already started to try.

Tyranny and Complacency

Historian Timothy Snyder’s 2019 book, On Tyranny: Twenty Lessons from the Twentieth Century, offers numerous insights on preventing and battling authoritarianism. But the dominant thread running through the volume is this: Don’t be complacent. Don’t despair. And be prepared.

That’s the point of this post. While Joe Biden could sweep to a landslide – a reassuring possibility to which I return below – Election Day could instead unleash a lengthy legal, political and media fight comprising state-by-state trench warfare.

Rather than despair over that possibility, we should prepare for it. The first step is to understand what looms.

I’ll accordingly summarize here how Donald Trump, his allies and appointees could steal the election.

In fact, they’ve already started to try.

[Continue Reading]

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About A Promised Land

A Promised Land explores the enduring grind of U.S. politics, fresh takes on policy debates and the long-term promise of viewing America as a developing country. Its perspective partly flows from Stephen Golub’s many years of international development work with leading aid agencies, foundations, policy institutes and advocacy groups.

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